American leaders keep overestimating their control over events in the Middle East, Ukraine, and around the world.
The world’s time, to which all clocks are set, comes from small national labs. Ukraine’s is in Kharkiv, a city under fire.
Supporting and arming Ukraine, and accelerating the collapse of the Russian military, is the most realistic way to end the conflict.
An outdated view of warfare helps explain why the U.S. was slow to supply long-range missiles.
Forecasting a conclusion to an unpredictable conflict
The president’s defenders ignore one possibility: He just likes Putin.
Once U.S. money starts flowing again, the dynamics of the war will change.
Frustrated by Berlin’s robust response to his invasion of Ukraine, the Russian leader is seeking allies who could disrupt the consensus.
The Russian president can’t win his war against Ukraine unless he persuades its allies to betray it.
The U.S. president has promised Ukraine “whatever it takes, as long as it takes.” But out of anxiety about escalation, Washington is making decisions that could prolong the war.